Prediction of summer monsoon rainfall over northwest region of India using an OLR index
نویسندگان
چکیده
Although, monsoon rainfall (June-September) over the country as a whole has shown some resilience for variations, it remarkable variations smaller regions viz. Northwestern parts of country. This study is an attempt to predict seasonal departure Northwest India with help “area averaged OLR anomaly index” associated North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Ocean during May. Using index developed in this period 1979-2000, simple regression equation was and performance model evaluated through “Cross validation” technique. The Root Mean Square (RMS) error (9.73) much less than standard deviation (17.51) NW India, indicating skill model.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Mausam
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['0252-9416']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.54302/mausam.v55i4.1349